Ana iya jin wani numfashi na jin daɗi ta hanyar toshewar yayin da kasuwar ta ragu kawai na makonni 9 a jere ya ƙare yayin da kyandir na mako-mako ya rufe kore a daren Lahadi. Wannan ya haifar da tambaya: shin mun sami gindin mu ko kuma wannan taron na agaji ne kafin wata kafa ta fadi? Mallakar Bitcoin ya karu zuwa 47% daga raguwar Janairu na 40% - yana nuna jirgin zuwa aminci a kasuwa a cikin watanni da yawa da suka gabata, ko kuma fita daga tsabar kudi na alt da kasuwannin crypto gabaɗaya.
Bitcoin ya sami goyon baya a kusa da $28,000, wannan ya faru kuma ya zama Fibonacci zinariya rabo 0.618 retracement matakin - wani m sigina cewa wani wucin gadi kasa da aka samu. Duk da haka, tare da Fed ya fara ƙarfafa ƙididdiga a ranar 1 ga Yuni, tasirin dala biliyan 95 na bashin bashi da Fed ya ce za su sayar kowane wata har yanzu ba a ji shi da gaske ba. Wannan ƙaddamarwa ta Fed zai tura kadarorin haɗari ƙasa yayin da ayyukan tattalin arziƙin ke raguwa kuma yawan kuɗi ya ragu a ƙoƙarin yaƙi da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.
Lokacin yin hasashen inda wani kasa zai iya zama yana da kyau a lura da wurin matsakaicin motsi na mako 200 (WMA). WMA 200 ya tabbatar da zama abin dogaro mai nuna alamar ƙasan kasuwar bitcoin na yanki. A cikin 2015 bitcoin ya ragu kuma ya sami tallafi akan 200 WMA akan kusan $200. A ƙarshen 2018, bitcoin ya sake komawa ƙasa kuma ya sami tallafi akan 200 WMA akan $ 3,150. A cikin hadarin Covid na Maris 2020 bitcoin ya sake gwada WMA 200, amma a takaice ya karya tsawon mako guda akan $ 5,500 - a ƙarshe ya kai kusan $ 3,800. Yau, 200 WMA yana zaune a $22,300. Wannan zai iya zama bene na gaba na bitcoin?
Dangane da wurin da ake ciki na WMA 200 na yanzu, Tushen Farashin Kan Sarkar na bitcoin a halin yanzu shine $23,800. A tarihi, siyan a cikin 200 WMA da yankin Tsarin Kuɗin Kan Sarkar ya kasance mai ban sha'awa sosai daga yanayin haɗari/lada. Sabanin haka, waɗannan lokutan sau da yawa suna jin kamar crypto a ƙarshe ya ƙare kuma yana ɗaukar ƙarfin tunani mai ƙarfi don danna maɓallin kore. Lokaci na ƙarshe da bitcoin ya shiga wannan yanki shine lokacin haɗarin Covid na Maris 2020 kuma ya zama babbar dama ta siyayya ga masu saka hannun jari da ƙarfin isa don ɗaukar shi yayin babban kasuwa da fargaba, wanda ya haifar da cinikin bitcoin ƙasa da $ 6,000 na mako guda.
A wannan makon, Bitfinex longs shima ya kai kololuwar lokaci tare da kusan kwangilolin BTC 90,000 wanda ya kai dala biliyan 2.7. Babban abin da ya gabata na kusan kwangiloli 54,000 shine 22 ga Yuli 2021, wanda ke nuna farkon hawan bitcoin zuwa wani sabon lokaci. Tambayar ita ce: shin waɗannan ƴan kasuwan suna yin shinge ne kawai bayan sun riga sun lalata wuraren da suke tabo? Ko fiye da kyakkyawan fata, suna ninka sau biyu tare da tsammanin tarihin sake maimaita kansa, yayin da suke tsinkayar motsin igiyoyin ruwa da kasa bitcoin ya wuce?
Ko da kuwa idan kasan yana cikin ko fiye da ƙasa yana kan sararin sama, mahalarta kasuwar da ke da matsakaicin dala a waɗannan matakan za su iya samun fa'ida mai fa'ida idan lokacin su ya kasance shekaru da yawa. Kamar yadda mai saka jari mai hikima ya taɓa cewa "Lokaci ya yi a kasuwa, ba lokacin kasuwa ba".